Friday, February 24, 2012

Rasmussen polls MT for some reason

Of all the States to poll, Rasmussen has now chosen Montana. Obama is down by 7% to Romney,  and behind by four to Santorum.
The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide survey of Likely Voters in Montana shows former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney leading the president 48% to 41%. Seven percent (7%) prefer some other candidate in the race, while four percent (4%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
Former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum picks up 45% of the vote to Obama’s 41%. Nine percent (9%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) remain undecided.
The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Montana was conducted on February 22, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
 Montana has only 3 electoral votes (EV). While Obama only lost the State by 3% in 2008, PPP polled MT in 2011 and found that it's not competitive any more. It's hardly a "must win" State for either Party. 

It's interesting that the usual conservative whinge isn't applied here. If one added the "undecideds" and the MoE, Obama could potentially tie or win. This would be desperate spin, of course, but that's essentially what conservatives are saying about the polling in PA and VA.

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