Saturday, February 25, 2012

Ras Trax 2/24: it COULD be a tie!

Rasmussen gives Obama a three-point lead in a poll that has 3% MoE (margin of error). This fits in with the current framing of the race from conservatives: "It looks like we're losing, but it could be a tie!".
In a potential Election 2012 matchups, the president leads Mitt Romney 46% to 43%. If Rick Santorum is the Republican nominee, the president leads 47% to 42%.
In any case, it appears that Rasmussen is abandoning the idea that Santorum could beat Obama. After posting his ridiculous tracker that claimed Santorum was one point ahead of Obama, apparently "things changed". This odd little shift only 'coincidentally' occurred at a time when conservatives were casting about for an alternative to Romney. 

As I've said before, Rasmussen's daily tracker seems to be 'tracking' the shifting Republican narrative rather than any kind of general electorate opinion.

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