Thursday, February 23, 2012

Marist poll confirms PPP Michigan survey

A new NBC/Marist poll of Michigan (1546 RV, ±2.5% MoE, 2/19 - 2/20) shows strong leads for Obama over the Republican candidates. This confirms what PPP found less than two weeks earlier. 

Here are some of the highlights from the NBC/Marist poll: 
  • In a match-up with Romney, Obama prevails by 18 points (51 / 33 / 15). Notice that this margin is larger than the percentage of "undecideds" plus the MoE.
  • Independents break in Obama's favour by nine (43 / 34 / 23) against Romney.
  • Obama wins white voters narrowly by 4%, and voters over the age of 60 by 22%, in a Romney match-up.
  • The presidential job approval breaks 51 / 38 / 11. Whites break even 43 / 44. 
  • Paul loses to Obama by 22% in a match-up. 
  • A Santorum/Obama match-up results in Obama winning by 26%, with white voters going for Obama by 14%, and the 60+ age demographic falling Obama's way by 27%. 
  • In the Republican primary, Santorum wins 48% of the evangelical likely voters.
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Pollster ratings from fivethirtyeight.com, based on 2010 elections:


 

 

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