The Decider, in his own words, and in his own little world:
Good morning. This week I traveled to Kansas City to address the annual convention of the Veterans of Foreign Wars. I spoke about the ideological struggle that our Nation faces in the 21st century, and the lessons we can draw from the advance of freedom in Asia in the 20th century. America's enduring presence and perseverance on that continent aided the rise of democracy, helped transform American enemies into American allies, and made our country safer.
Yes, and Bush's remarks were widely ridiculed, including his quotes about Japan which were
bitterly denounced by the man he quoted. Of course, Vietnam is not a democracy, nor is Laos. It was not "America's enduring presence" that turned Vietnam from an enemy to an ally; rather, it was the wisdom to withdraw and let the Vietnamese determine thier own course. In the case of Cambodia, the U.S. bombed it into oblivion and supported the overthrow of Prince Norodim Sihanouk in the mistaken belief that they couldn't get anyone worse in power. Instead, the Khmer Rouge stepped up to the plate out the ruins of the generous bombings and began an unparalleled genocide that was only stopped by the invasion of "enemy" Vietnam. In Vietnam itself, the "democracy" that the U.S. backed was one in which only
one party was allowed to participate in elections. Opposition parties were summarily imprisoned, executed, and obliterated in Thieu's Vietnam. As it turned out, the communists did not "follow us home". The millions killed in Vietnam died in a civil war, in which the U.S. had the major share as executioner. 16 years in Vietnam only destroyed that country and did nothing to make it an ally or to "make our country safer". No talk of "democracy" in Burma, one will notice.
Next week I will address the members of the American Legion at their annual convention in Reno. In that speech, I will focus on the Middle East and why the rise of a free and democratic Iraq is critical to the future of this vital region and to our Nation's security.
So Bush will again make another speech in front of politically-supportive audience and repeat the same talking points which have brought his credibility to zero. Ho-hum.
I will also provide an update on the developments we are seeing from our new strategy in Iraq. Every month since January, U.S. forces have killed or captured an average of more than 1,500 al Qaeda terrorists and other extremists. And in June our troops launched a surge of operations that is helping bring former Sunni insurgents into the fight against al Qaeda, clear the terrorists out of population centers, and give families in liberated Iraqi cities a safer and more normal life.
And yet Al-Qaeda and "other extremists" seem to have no trouble replacing these numbers.
The "former Sunni insurgents" we are using to wipe out Al-Qaeda are
not loyal to the Iraqi government, so we are merely making a lateral move there. And we are
using "terrorists" (the Shia militias) to "clear the terrorists out", so it's not really a mark of progress on that score, either. And "families in liberated Iraq"
are fleeing the country in record numbers, not feeling "safer" or living "a more normal life". So, no progress on this score. See
this post for more facts on the surge's dismal record.
As security improves, more Iraqis are stepping forward to defend their democracy. Young Iraqi men are signing up for the army. Iraqi police are now patrolling the streets. Coalition and Iraqi forces have doubled the number of joint operations. As the Iraqi people feel more secure, they are also forming neighborhood watch groups. They're volunteering important information about the terrorists and extremists hiding in their midst. And the increase in tips helps account for the marked reduction in sectarian murders.
The Iraqi Army is in
miserable shape, it is only at a third of the forces Bush anticipated, the Iraqi military and police are
not loyal to the government, and
sectarian killings are up.
More surge facts here.
By driving out the terrorists from cities and neighborhoods, we're creating the conditions for reconciliation -- especially at the local level. In communities across Iraq, citizens are seeing their local and provincial governments return to operation. Despite continuing violence, leaders in places like Anbar, Najaf, and Ninewah are now working through local provincial councils to approve funds to finance the rebuilding of homes and neighborhoods, to fight corruption, and to create new jobs.
In fact, by driving the terrorists (or at least the "terrorists" who don't temporarily ally themselves with us) out, we instead displace the violence to new areas. Petraeus once offered his "balloon analogy", which said that as you apply the pressure in one area, it is merely moved to another area. Any progress that has come in Anbar has come from the militias, not from the government, and the provincial governments are a no-show. Reconstruction efforts are an embarrasing failure. The electricity is on for only a few hours, and serious
problems are now obvious in the water-delivery infrastructure. The country is
facing a "humaitarian crisis", and the economy is in shambles. That is why
50,000 Iraqis a month are fleeing the country.
Here at home, it can be easy to overlook the bravery shown by Iraqi troops and Iraqi civilians who are in the fight for freedom. But our troops on the ground see it every day. Last week, a team of American soldiers was meeting with an Iraqi citizens group near Baghdad. Suddenly, a suicide bomber came running around a corner and headed straight for our soldiers and the Iraqi civilians.
One Iraqi man saw what was happening and ran to intercept the bomber. As he pushed the terrorist away, the bomb detonated -- killing both men, but sparing four American soldiers and eight Iraqi civilians. Army Staff Sergeant Sean Kane is one of those who says he owes his life to this brave Iraqi. Sergeant Kane says, "He could have run behind us or away from us, but he made the decision to sacrifice himself to protect everyone." Sergeant Kane spoke to the Iraqi man's father, who said that even if his son had known the outcome beforehand, he "would not have acted differently."
Great. An Iraqi doesn't want suicide bombers destroying his neighbourhood. Who would? Is Bush seriously floating the idea that someone opposed to the occupation is saying that the Iraqi people
want to be blown up? We've thrown 30,000 troops into Iraq to bring stability, and the bombings continue, the sectarian killings continue, and the government crumbles. The point is, that despite what the average Iraqi wants, the surge isn't providing security. It's merely working at the margins and moving violence to once-peaceful areas. And as for those who "overlook the bravery shown by the Iraqi troops", I'd have to point to Rear Adm Fox:
"US commanders warn that Iraqi forces are not ready to handle security alone, in part due t
o tensions between ordinary Iraqis and police, who the United States says have often been
infiltrated by Shiite militia."There is a certain element of the Iraqi security forces and in particular the Iraqi police ... that have had shortfalls in terms of loyalty ... to the central government,"
Rear Admiral Mark Fox, the top military spokesman in Iraq, told a news conference."
The story does not end there. Later that same night, the citizens group contacted the local director of the National Police and told him the location of the al Qaeda cell believed to be responsible for the attack. The National Police immediately conducted a raid that resulted in four arrests.
Hooray! How many of those who reported this will soon be victims of death squads or
Al-Qaeda? The story does not end where Bush left it, either. One can point to citizens reporting crimes here at home, and arrests being made, but nobody suggests that crime can be eliminated. It is only working on the margins.
We are still in the early stages of our new operations. But the success of the past couple of months have shown that conditions on the ground can change -- and they are changing. We cannot expect the new strategy we are carrying out to bring success overnight. But by standing with the Iraqi people as they build their democracy, we will deliver a devastating blow to al Qaeda, we will help provide new hope for millions of people throughout the Middle East, we will gain a friend and ally in the war on terror, and we will make the American people safer.
We have been in Iraq for
4 1/2 years. We have been hearing of "promising progress" for that entire time. The surge doesn't exist in a vacuum. Four years preceded it. Four years of battling Al-Qaeda, killing and arresting "insurgents", even torturing them, did not solve the problem. Al-Qaeda is not "devastated", and if we drive them out, then they will go somewhere else and create new problems in Somalia or Afghanistan. They will come back as soon as the pressure is gone, and they are in fact doing this in areas where the surge has 'succeeded'. The al-Maliki government is cozying up to Iran, as would be expected of a partisan Shiite coalition, and Iran is
not an ally in the War On Terror. Provincial elections are stalled. Nobody in the Middle East is looking at Iraq with "hope" or as a positive example of "democracy". Elements within the White House itself are now saying that democracy must be abandoned in Iraq if we are to "succeed". And the primary fear-mongering regarding Americans' safety has come from the White House.
Thank you for listening.
I wish
you would try it sometime, Mr. Bush.
No mention of the British in Basra, nor of the collapse of the Iraqi government. Bush promised big things with the surge, and the result is not much more than we had before the surge. Morale is low among the troops, and the Afghan war is not going well. A major PR campaign has not impressed the American public, and Republicans continue to beat away on their old "dissent is treason" line. Bush's base is increasingly isolated and hanging on to a bizarre fear of an imminent Islamic takeover in America that the occupation of Iraq is somehow supposed to be preventing. With a little over a year before elections, and the surge not being able to be maintained beyond April due to a shortage of troops, one must look at what Iraq will look like without the 30,000 occupation troops already there. Will Republicans continue to denounce dissenting troops that return to be "traitors"? How will that square with the "support the troops" mania they have relied on up to now? How long can "moderate" Republicans like Jim Ramstad (my rep, btw) wring their hands and hope for good news before the public sees them as nothing more than tools of an unpopular Administration? Stay tuned.