Tuesday, March 06, 2012

Ras Trax 3/6

Another day, another Rasmussen tracker that makes no sense in Rasmussen's world. Once again, Obama has higher disapproval than approval, which meant before that Obama should be losing in a match-up with Republican candidates. Strangely, this unpopular President is ahead of both Republicans. How can this be?
In a hypothetical 2012 matchup, the president leads Romney 48% to 42%. If Santorum is the Republican nominee, the president leads 48% to 41%.
Overall, 48% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president's job performance. Fifty-one percent (51%) at least somewhat disapprove.
 So, Scotty says Romney is losing by six points. Once again, Romney is not picking up that 51% who are unhappy with Obama's job performance. This is so weird, because we are told that Obama is so unpopular that anybody could beat him. Once again, the Republican candidates are only picking the same percentage that "strongly disapproves" of Obama's job performance. Once again, that percentage of "strong disapproval" is only a few points above Rasmussen's percentage of self-identified Republicans.

And, once again, this 'unpopular' President is drawing 15% above Rasmussen's percentage of self-identified Democrats. And, once again, we must point out that these are "likely voters", and Rasmussen can't credibly claim that they won't turn out in November. Roughly half of Rasmussen's Independent voters are breaking for Obama, and the other half apparently aren't sure yet.

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