Wednesday, January 25, 2012

Polling summary 1/25/12

This is a summary of some interesting recent polls. I may reference these in separate posts in the future.

National presidential polling:

CBS/NYT 1/12-17/12; 1,154 adults, 3% margin of error 1,021 registered voters, 3% margin of error

50% Obama (D), 39% Gingrich (R)
45% Obama (D), 45% Romney (R)
46% Obama (D), 42% Paul (R)
49% Obama (D), 38% Santorum (R)

Rasmussen  1/15-16/12; 1,000 likely voters, 3% margin of error

47% Obama (D), 38% Gingrich (R)

PPP 1/13-16/12; 700 registered voters, 3.7% margin of error

49% Obama (D), 42% Gingrich (R)
47% Obama (D), 42% Paul (R)
51% Obama (D), 40% Perry (R)
49% Obama (D), 44% Romney (R)
50% Obama (D), 42% Santorum (R)

Rasmussen  1/11-12/12; 1,000 likely voters, 3% margin of error

43% Obama (D), 37% Paul (R)

Other polling:

PPP (1/19) 1000 Registered Voters, MoE 3.1%, January 19, 2012 - January 22, 2012.

Republicans approve of Congressional Republicans 49/38.
Democrats approve of Congressional Democrats 62/25. 
White voters are negative on the Republicans 37/50 for the Generic Congressional Ballot (GCB).
65+ aged voters break 45/45 on the GCB.
61% of registered voters say that "Mitt Romney will say anything he has to to get elected".
44% of Republicans agree, as do 57% of Independents.
81% of registered voters think that "Making $370,000 in a year is a lot of money".
85% of white voters agree, as do 77% of Republicans and Independents.

PPP MN Republican caucus: 303 likely Republican voters, MoE 5.6%, 1/21-22

Gingrich    36%
Romney    18%
Santorum  17%
Paul          13%

Tea Party caucus voters have an unfavourable opinion of Paul: 35/48
Gingrich is the Tea Party favourite at 44% support.
43% of the Republican likely caucus voters consider themselves to be "very conservative".
32% of the Republican likely caucus voters consider themselves to be Tea Party members.
Paul is favourable in the broad category of age 18-45, breaking 44/33.
64% of the likely caucus voters are over 45.

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Pollster ratings from fivethirtyeight.com, based on 2010 elections: