More good news from Rasmussen

Rasmussen doesn't really allow links to his survey results. The link just goes to a page where the old polling results are replaced by more current data, so I can't link to the current Generic Congressional Ballot (GCB) results. You'll have to trust me, or go to Pollster.

But here is the text that I am allowed to see, since I am a non-subscriber:

Monday, January 30, 2012

For the first time in roughly two-and-a-half years, Democrats lead Republicans on the Generic Congressional Ballot, this time for the week ending Sunday, Jan. 29.
A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 41% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for the Democrat in their district’s congressional race if the election were held today, while 40% would choose the Republican instead.

Date	Dem	GOP
01-29-12	41%	40%
01-22-12	39%	42%
01-15-12	38%	44%
01-08-12	38%	44%
12-30-11	38%	43%
12-22-11	40%	43%
12-18-11	40%	43%
12-11-11	39%	42%
12-04-11	38%	43%

Notice that, since December, Rasmussen has showed at least a three-point lead for Republicans on the GCB. There was a tie in early November, but otherwise his surveys have showed Republicans favoured to win House races. The freshman Republicans who entered the House in 2010 by riding the Tea Party are not popular.

Also, Gallup is showing the Obama / Romney match-up to be a tie.
1/27-28/12; 907 registered voters, 4% margin of error

National
2012 President
48% Obama (D), 48% Romney (R)
53% Obama (D), 41% Gingrich (R)
49% Obama (D), 46% Paul (R)
51% Obama (D), 43% Santorum (R)

A tie at this point from Gallup is actually pretty good, because a lot of pollsters are showing Obama with a lead. Voters (outside of the Republican base) aren't liking what they are seeing in the Republican primaries. This has been a bad introduction to Romney for most people. It's still early and a lot can happen, but most of the things that could go wrong are on the Republican side.

The next PPP national (DKos/SEIU) poll should be interesting.